Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 16/07, 10:00
Prediction: Ksenia Smirnova vs Dominika Podhajecka
Prediction summary
Winner
Ksenia Smirnova
Dominika Podhajecka
Estimated games
19.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ksenia Smirnova
6-4 (W-L)
Dominika Podhajecka
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ksenia Smirnova
1–0
Dominika Podhajecka
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ksenia Smirnova 1561 · Dominika Podhajecka 1498
| Ksenia Smirnova | Dominika Podhajecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ksenia Smirnova (rating 1561 vs 1498).
- Head-to-head: Ksenia Smirnova 1–0 Dominika Podhajecka (1).
- Note: Ksenia Smirnova makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Dominika Podhajecka makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Ksenia Smirnova | Dominika Podhajecka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-7.9 | 9.5-9.3 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.1% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 52% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.8
H2H · Ksenia Smirnova 1 – 0 Dominika Podhajecka (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ksenia Smirnova 1–0 Dominika Podhajecka
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07/26 W35 Hillcrest | 2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ksenia Smirnova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Emma Van Poppel W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-0 | W |
| 11/07 | Polina Leykina W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Isabella Kruger W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 07/07 | Dominika Podhajecka W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Jenny Duerst W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Nelise Verster W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Valentina Khrebtova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/06 | Ann Akasha Ceuca W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Anastasiya Krymkova W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Dominika Podhajecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Ksenia Smirnova W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Isabella Kruger W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/06 | Mariia Nozdrachova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
| 18/06 | Sarra Attig W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Maddalena Giordano W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Arina Arifullina W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/05 | Danielle Dai Chapman W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 21/05 | Agustina Soto Neira W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ksenia Smirnova vs Dominika Podhajecka?
Our model gives 64% to Ksenia Smirnova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.