Tennis · M25 Louisville · 15/07, 19:00
Prediction: Aleksa Ciric vs Nikita Filin
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksa Ciric
Nikita Filin
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksa Ciric
7-3 (W-L)
Nikita Filin
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksa Ciric 1625 · Nikita Filin 1551
| Aleksa Ciric | Nikita Filin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksa Ciric (rating 1625 vs 1551).
- Note: Nikita Filin makes many double faults (5.1/match).
Statistics
| Aleksa Ciric | Nikita Filin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-9.7 | 12.2-9.2 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 75% |
| Break % | 51% | 47.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksa Ciric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05 | Enzo Aguiard UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/05 | Joaquin Benoit UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/05 | Cooper Johnson UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 20/05 | AJ Deem UTR Pro Tuscaloosa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Marko Mesarovic M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Perez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05 | Alexander Baez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/05 | Carlos Guerrero Alvarez UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Rahul Sachdev UTR Pro Concord · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nikita Filin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Liam Oliver M25 Louisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/11 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 15/09 | Samir Banerjee Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/09 | Nicolas Arseneault Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/08 | Henry Jefferson UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/08 | Derrick Chen UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/08 | Pedro Liborio UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Pablo Perez Ramos UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/08 | Jordan Reznik UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Ilyas Milad Fahim ITF M25 Champaign · Hard |
1-2 | 11-9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksa Ciric vs Nikita Filin?
Our model gives 56% to Aleksa Ciric, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.