Tennis · Challenger Lincoln · 16/07, 00:00
Prediction: Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger
Prediction summary
Winner
Mark Lajal
Mitchell Krueger
Estimated games
25
Recent form · 10 last
Mark Lajal
3-7 (W-L)
Mitchell Krueger
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mark Lajal
1–0
Mitchell Krueger
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mark Lajal 1485 · Mitchell Krueger 1497
| Mark Lajal | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mark Lajal 1–0 Mitchell Krueger (1).
Statistics
| Mark Lajal | Mitchell Krueger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 44% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-13.2 | 11-11 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 25.2% | 37% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25
H2H · Mark Lajal 1 – 0 Mitchell Krueger (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mark Lajal 1–0 Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/05/23 Challenger Little Rock | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mark Lajal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Trevor Svajda Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 09/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Luka Pavlovic Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/06 | Arthur Gea Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 10/06 | Michael Zheng Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 08/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Anton Matusevich Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Mitchell Krueger
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alex Martinez Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/07 | Gavin Young M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/07 | Oliver Okonkwo M25 Dallas |
1-1 | 7-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/05 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mark Lajal vs Mitchell Krueger?
Our model gives 60% to Mark Lajal, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.