Tennis · Polish National Championships · 15/07, 12:30

Prediction: Marcel Zielinski vs Adam Majchrzak

Prediction summary
Winner
64% 36%
Marcel Zielinski Adam Majchrzak
Estimated games
21.8
Recent form · 10 last
Marcel Zielinski 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLLWLW
Adam Majchrzak 8-2 (W-L)
LLWWWWWWWW
Head-to-head
Marcel Zielinski 1–0 Adam Majchrzak (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marcel Zielinski 1551 · Adam Majchrzak 1548
Marcel ZielinskiAdam Majchrzak
Our model50%50%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Marcel Zielinski 1–0 Adam Majchrzak (1).

Statistics

Marcel ZielinskiAdam Majchrzak
Win %70%60%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)11.7-10.412.1-9.5
Aces34.6
Double faults1.13.5
1st serve %67.3%76.2%
Break %44.8%52.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.8

H2H · Marcel Zielinski 10 Adam Majchrzak (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marcel Zielinski 10 Adam Majchrzak

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DateSetsGamesRes.
30/08/23
ITF M15 Szczawno
2-012-5W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marcel Zielinski

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Carles Hernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
1-2 6-14 L
02/07 Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-1 15-9 W
01/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Getxo · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
20/06 Marlon Vankan
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
0-2 6-13 L
19/06 Yannik Kelm
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 17-15 W
18/06 Vincent Marysko
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-1 16-11 W
17/06 Kaspar Mathes
M15 Saarlouis · ~Clay
2-0 13-10 W
12/06 Gabriele Piraino
M15 Messina · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
11/06 Gian Marco Ortenzi
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
10/06 Giacomo Crisostomo
M15 Messina · ~Clay
2-1 16-9 W

Adam Majchrzak

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/06 Karol Filar
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
24/06 Jakub Januchowski
M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
05/06 Kacper Knitter
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L
04/06 Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
02/06 Gabriele Bosio
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-1 18-17 W
31/05 Vano Losaberidze
M15 Tsaghkadzor Qual · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
27/05 Mikayel Avanesyan
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
25/05 Aleksander Konstantin
M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay
2-0 13-7 W
03/08 Fabrizio Andaloro
Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
30/07 Rudolf Molleker
ITF M25 Koszalin
0-2 9-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marcel Zielinski vs Adam Majchrzak?

Our model gives 64% to Marcel Zielinski, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.