Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 16/07, 15:00

Prediction: Fermin Tenti vs Santiago De La Fuente

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Fermin Tenti Santiago De La Fuente
Estimated games
22.4
Recent form · 10 last
Fermin Tenti 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLW
Santiago De La Fuente 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLWLLLLL
Head-to-head
Fermin Tenti 0–2 Santiago De La Fuente (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fermin Tenti 1521 · Santiago De La Fuente 1444
Fermin TentiSantiago De La Fuente
Our model61%39%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fermin Tenti (rating 1521 vs 1444).
  • Fermin Tenti is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Fermin Tenti 0–2 Santiago De La Fuente (2).

Statistics

Fermin TentiSantiago De La Fuente
Win %60%30%
Win % · Clay 56% (9) 30% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.20.9-1.5
Games (G-P)11.3-1110.4-12
Aces1.30.9
Double faults1.70.9
1st serve %57.6%58.8%
Break %33.6%51.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.4

H2H · Fermin Tenti 02 Santiago De La Fuente (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fermin Tenti 02 Santiago De La Fuente

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DateSetsGamesRes.
24/10/22
UTR Pro Tennis Series Buenos Aires
0-23-11L
04/10/22
ITF M15 Villa Carlos Paz
1-211-14L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fermin Tenti

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Lorenzo Gagliardo
M15 Villa Constitucion
2-1 16-15 W
07/07 Nicolas Mejia
Challenger Bogota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
06/07 Conner Huertas Del Pino
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 14-13 W
05/07 Peter Bertran
Challenger Bogota · Clay
2-1 16-12 W
29/06 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Challenger Quito · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
28/06 Cesar Ariel Hidalgo Aguirre
Challenger Quito · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
06/05 Nick Hardt
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
05/05 Nicolas Villalon
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-1 16-11 W
04/05 Rai Vicente de Araujo
Challenger Santos · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
08/04 Felipe De Dios
UTR Pro Cordoba · Clay
1-2 15-18 L

Santiago De La Fuente

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/06 Matias Soto
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
16/06 Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
Challenger Asuncion · Clay
2-1 16-15 W
09/06 Eduardo Ribeiro
Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
12/05 Murkel Dellien
Challenger Cordoba · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
05/05 Franco Roncadelli
Challenger Santos · Clay
0-2 10-14 L
28/04 Wilson Leite
M25 Lujan · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
14/04 Nicolas Villalon
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
13/04 Daniel Salazar
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
12/04 Nicolas Ciancaglini
Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
07/04 Gonzalo Villanueva
Challenger Campinas · Clay
1-2 10-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fermin Tenti vs Santiago De La Fuente?

Our model gives 50% to Fermin Tenti, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.