Tennis · Challenger Bunschoten · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard
Prediction summary
Winner
Gerard Campana Lee
Thijs Boogaard
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Gerard Campana Lee
7-3 (W-L)
Thijs Boogaard
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gerard Campana Lee 1551 · Thijs Boogaard 1607
| Gerard Campana Lee | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thijs Boogaard (rating 1551 vs 1607).
- Note: Thijs Boogaard makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Gerard Campana Lee | Thijs Boogaard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.8-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-10.7 | 14.4-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.2% | 70.4% |
| Break % | 58.5% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gerard Campana Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/07 | Oscar Jose Gutierrez Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Liege · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 06/07 | Michiel de Krom Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 05/07 | Fadi Bidan Challenger Liege · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/06 | Dimitar Kisimov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 18/06 | Lucio Ratti Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Thomas Faurel Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/06 | Philip Henning Challenger Royan · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Thijs Boogaard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 21/06 | Tiago Torres M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 20/06 | Fabrizio Andaloro M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 19/06 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/06 | Patrick Schoen M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Goncalo Marques M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 10/06 | Yibing Wu ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 15/05 | Aaron Funk M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 14/05 | Ali Habib M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gerard Campana Lee vs Thijs Boogaard?
Our model gives 56% to Thijs Boogaard, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.