Tennis · M15 Castelo Branco · 16/07, 11:00
Prediction: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs Tiago Cacao
Prediction summary
Winner
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
Tiago Cacao
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
5-5 (W-L)
Tiago Cacao
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manel Lazaro Juncadella 1564 · Tiago Cacao 1511
| Manel Lazaro Juncadella | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manel Lazaro Juncadella (rating 1564 vs 1511).
- Note: Manel Lazaro Juncadella makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Manel Lazaro Juncadella | Tiago Cacao | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.6 | 11.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 66.9% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manel Lazaro Juncadella
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Max Benaim M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/07 | Dan Added M25 Roda de Bara |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Nikola Djukic Valera M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Ludovico Vaccari M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/06 | Pieter De Lange M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Julien Penzlin M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 24/06 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/06 | Niels Lootsma M15 Alkmaar · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 11/06 | John Echeverria M25 Martos · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 10/06 | Marcos Castro Fabra M25 Martos · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Tiago Cacao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M15 Castelo Branco |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Carl Emil Overbeck M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 02/07 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Karan Singh M25 Figueira da Foz · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/06 | Joao Domingues M25 Lourinha · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/05 | Goncalo Marques M25 Loule · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/04 | Joao Domingues M25 Quinta do Lago · ~Hard |
1-1 | 11-12 | L |
| 04/04 | Julio Cesar Porras UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/04 | Hugo Maia UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/04 | Oscar Brown UTR Pro Carvoeiro · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs Tiago Cacao?
Our model gives 58% to Tiago Cacao, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.