Tennis · W15 Hillcrest · 16/07, 09:30
Prediction: Elena Jamshidi vs Mika Buchnik
Prediction summary
Winner
Elena Jamshidi
Mika Buchnik
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Elena Jamshidi
4-6 (W-L)
Mika Buchnik
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elena Jamshidi
1–0
Mika Buchnik
(1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elena Jamshidi 1491 · Mika Buchnik 1538
| Elena Jamshidi | Mika Buchnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mika Buchnik (rating 1491 vs 1538).
- Head-to-head: Elena Jamshidi 1–0 Mika Buchnik (1).
- Note: Mika Buchnik makes many double faults (9.5/match).
Statistics
| Elena Jamshidi | Mika Buchnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.8-8.7 | 11.8-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 9.5 |
| 1st serve % | 52.7% | 60.1% |
| Break % | 56.3% | 62.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Elena Jamshidi 1 – 0 Mika Buchnik (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elena Jamshidi 1–0 Mika Buchnik
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 W15 Gaborone | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elena Jamshidi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Ashton Bowers W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Donna Le Roux W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Isabella Kruger W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Freya Peet W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Jessica Schilz W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Isabella De Micco Padula W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/05 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/05 | Darja Suvirdjonkova W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/05 | Mika Buchnik W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Mika Buchnik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Nelise Verster W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Isabella Kruger W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/07 | Marilouise Van Zyl W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Michelle Dzjachangirova W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/06 | Isabella Wong W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/05 | Elena Jamshidi W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 20/05 | Lan Mi W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 13/05 | Maayan Laron W15 Gaborone · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elena Jamshidi vs Mika Buchnik?
Our model gives 56% to Mika Buchnik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.