Tennis · M15 Villa Constitucion · 14/07, 14:00
Prediction: Ezequiel Monferrer vs Santiago Giamichelle
Prediction summary
Winner
Ezequiel Monferrer
Santiago Giamichelle
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ezequiel Monferrer
2-8 (W-L)
Santiago Giamichelle
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ezequiel Monferrer 1493 · Santiago Giamichelle 1539
| Ezequiel Monferrer | Santiago Giamichelle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Santiago Giamichelle (rating 1493 vs 1539).
- Note: Santiago Giamichelle makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ezequiel Monferrer | Santiago Giamichelle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (8) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-12.6 | 11.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.7% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 53% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ezequiel Monferrer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Bastian Malla M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/06 | Samuel Heredia Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Wilson Leite Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 09/06 | Nicolas Villalon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Amador Salazar Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 22/05 | Mateus Alves M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Zanellato M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 14/05 | Wilson Leite M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Santiago Giamichelle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli M15 Villa Constitucion |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Thiago Cigarran M15 San Salvador de Jujuy |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Thiago Cigarran Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Ignacio Monzon Challenger San Miguel de Tucuman · Clay |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 23/05 | Gustavo Ribeiro de Almeida M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 22/05 | Wilson Leite M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Nicolas Bruna M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/05 | Joao Victor Couto Loureiro M15 Maringa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Valentino Grippo M15 Maringa Qual · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/01 | Noah Johnston UTR Pro Athens · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ezequiel Monferrer vs Santiago Giamichelle?
Our model gives 58% to Santiago Giamichelle, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.