Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 15/07, 16:00
Prediction: Hugo Grenier vs Akira Santillan
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Grenier
Akira Santillan
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Grenier
3-7 (W-L)
Akira Santillan
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Grenier 1434 · Akira Santillan 1488
| Hugo Grenier | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Akira Santillan (rating 1434 vs 1488).
- Note: Akira Santillan makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Hugo Grenier | Akira Santillan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 38% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.5 | 11.4-11.8 |
| Aces | 5.4 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 72.8% |
| Break % | 31.5% | 37.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Grenier
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Cyril Vandermeersch Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Matthias Uwe Kask M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Paul Inchauspe M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Tristan Berard M25 Ajaccio · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 22/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Oliver Okonkwo Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 25/05 | Luca Nardi Challenger Chisinau · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Lloyd Harris French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Pierre Delage Challenger Bordeaux · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Akira Santillan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | Alejandro Lopez Escribano Challenger Pozoblanco · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 28/06 | Alejandro Mateo Berge Nourescu Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/06 | Cezar Cretu Challenger Targu Mures · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 07/06 | Marko Bekeni Challenger Bratislava · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/06 | Alexander Donski Challenger Centurion · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Grenier vs Akira Santillan?
Our model gives 51% to Akira Santillan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.