Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 14/07, 12:00

Prediction: Aleksander Chayka vs Lambert Ruland

Prediction summary
Winner
39% 61%
Aleksander Chayka Lambert Ruland
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksander Chayka 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLLWWLWL
Lambert Ruland 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Aleksander Chayka 1479 · Lambert Ruland 1518
Aleksander ChaykaLambert Ruland
Our model44%56%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Aleksander Chayka makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Aleksander ChaykaLambert Ruland
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.2-0.8
Games (G-P)8.8-10.98.9-7.6
Aces7.72.2
Double faults4.73.1
1st serve %66.6%68.7%
Break %36%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Aleksander Chayka

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
05/02 Dong Ju Kim
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 11-14 L
04/02 Andrey Dvortsov
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
29/01 Semen Pankin
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
28/01 Carl Holder
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
08/12 Toprak Avcibasi
M15 Ceuta · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
27/11 Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/11 Sergio Planella Hernandez
ITF M15 Madrid · Clay
2-1 15-9 W
19/11 Cyril Vandermeersch
ITF M15 Alcala De Henares · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
29/10 Maximilian Homberg
ITF M15 Malta
0-2 4-12 L
22/10 Melios Efstathiou
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 1-12 L

Lambert Ruland

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/07 Leonardo Taddia
M25 Kramsach
2-0 8-2 W
17/06 Kenta Miyoshi
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
16/06 Nav Dayal
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
2-0 12-10 W
31/12 Antreas Djakouris
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
29/12 Winston Lee
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-2 W
28/12 Hudson Rivera
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
23/11 Luc Wieland
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
22/11 JP Day
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
21/11 Artem Khrapko
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
20/11 Liam Spiers
UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Aleksander Chayka vs Lambert Ruland?

Our model gives 61% to Lambert Ruland, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.