Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 16/07, 03:30
Prediction: Ford McCollum vs Winston Lee
Prediction summary
Winner
Ford McCollum
Winston Lee
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Ford McCollum
3-7 (W-L)
Winston Lee
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ford McCollum 1441 · Winston Lee 1498
| Ford McCollum | Winston Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Winston Lee (rating 1441 vs 1498).
Statistics
| Ford McCollum | Winston Lee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-12 | 9.6-11 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 60.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ford McCollum
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 24/05 | Tyler Lee UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/05 | George Hakopian UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/05 | Andre Alcantara UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/05 | Kaj Quirijns UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Blu Baker UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 19/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 10/02 | Sklar Phillips UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/02 | Liam Alvarez UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Winston Lee
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Robert Yang UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/07 | Gabriel Porras UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Soma Fukuhara UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 03/06 | Riku Nakamoto UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/06 | Hunter Heck UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shion Itsusaki UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/02 | Farzan Amiri UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/02 | Paris Pouatcha UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Benjamin Berger UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 19/02 | Noah Zamora UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ford McCollum vs Winston Lee?
Our model gives 51% to Ford McCollum, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.