Tennis · UTR Pro Newport Beach · 16/07, 02:00
Prediction: Alexander Aney vs Benjamin Sparks
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Aney
Benjamin Sparks
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Aney
4-6 (W-L)
Benjamin Sparks
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Aney 1537 · Benjamin Sparks 1553
| Alexander Aney | Benjamin Sparks | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alexander Aney makes many double faults (7.7/match).
Statistics
| Alexander Aney | Benjamin Sparks | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-10.6 | 11-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Aney
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/06 | Alberto Altur Fernandez UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nicolas Iantosca UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Drew Van Orderlain UTR Pro Boston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/02 | Leonardo Cattaneo UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 21/02 | Lucas Hammond UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/02 | Jordan Chiu UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/02 | Timofey Stepanov UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Bernardo Munk Mesa UTR Pro Berkeley · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Benjamin Sparks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Jacob Brumm UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Pavel Bushuev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Cesar Cruz UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/06 | Donald Hall UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/06 | Antreas Djakouris UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/06 | Sebastian Bielen UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/06 | David Duong UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Lathan Skrobarcek UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 04/06 | Niels Hoffmann UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Rohan Sachdev UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Aney vs Benjamin Sparks?
Our model gives 64% to Benjamin Sparks, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.