Tennis · M25 Kramsach · 15/07, 10:00
Prediction: Kalin Ivanovski vs Theo Papamalamis
Prediction summary
Winner
Kalin Ivanovski
Theo Papamalamis
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kalin Ivanovski
9-1 (W-L)
Theo Papamalamis
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kalin Ivanovski 1626 · Theo Papamalamis 1547
| Kalin Ivanovski | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kalin Ivanovski (rating 1626 vs 1547).
Statistics
| Kalin Ivanovski | Theo Papamalamis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 90% (10) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10.1 | 12.8-10.1 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 79.1% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kalin Ivanovski
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 04/07 | Yanaki Milev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 03/07 | Alexander Weis M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Liam Delicata M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Andrey Chepelev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/06 | Khumoyun Sultanov M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 27/06 | Bozo Barun M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/06 | Javier Barranco Cosano M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/06 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Jan Facek M25 Zagreb · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | William Jansen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 05/07 | Nicolas Parizzia Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Izan Almazan Valiente Challenger Troyes · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang Challenger Troyes · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/06 | Melios Efstathiou M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/06 | Mika Petkovic M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/06 | Giammarco Gandolfi M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-17 | W |
| 18/06 | Giacomo Crisostomo M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Louis Van Herck M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/06 | Stefan Horia Haita M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kalin Ivanovski vs Theo Papamalamis?
Our model gives 61% to Kalin Ivanovski, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.