Prediction: Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian
Prediction summary
Winner
Xiaowei Li
Niehua Tian
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Xiaowei Li
3-7 (W-L)
Niehua Tian
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Xiaowei Li 1454 · Niehua Tian 1418
| Xiaowei Li | Niehua Tian | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Niehua Tian makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Xiaowei Li | Niehua Tian | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 0.7-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 6.4-11.5 | 7.4-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 47.6% | 55.3% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 37.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Xiaowei Li
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Ikumi Yamazaki W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Junlu Sun W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yui Ohwaki W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 30/06 | Ryeong Gyeong Park W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Tiana Tian Deng W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Le Yi Liu W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Ekaterina Maklakova W100 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | JiaYi Wang W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Yushan Shao W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Niehua Tian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Ziyu Zhou W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Kuai Jiananxi W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Jiayu Xu W35 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-11 | L |
| 14/05 | JiaYi Wang W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/05 | Lexue Xiao W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-0 | 6-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Yuyao Li W15 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 05/05 | Jiayue Pan W15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/04 | Sera Nishimoto W15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 20/04 | Soo Ha Jang W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 13/04 | Kenzie Nguyen W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Xiaowei Li vs Niehua Tian?
Our model gives 52% to Xiaowei Li, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.