Tennis · Challenger Pozoblanco · 14/07, 16:00
Prediction: Robin Bertrand vs Juan Pablo Ficovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Robin Bertrand
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Estimated games
23.2
Recent form · 10 last
Robin Bertrand
8-2 (W-L)
Juan Pablo Ficovich
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Robin Bertrand 1511 · Juan Pablo Ficovich 1399
| Robin Bertrand | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Robin Bertrand (rating 1511 vs 1399).
- Juan Pablo Ficovich dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Robin Bertrand is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Robin Bertrand | Juan Pablo Ficovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 0.9-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 13.1-15.6 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 7.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 46% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Robin Bertrand
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Oliver Crawford M25 Roda de Bara |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Takuya Kumasaka M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/07 | Alexander Bravo M25 Roda de Bara |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/06 | Matt Ponchet M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Raphael Perot Challenger Royan · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/06 | Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Challenger Lyon · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Giles Hussey Challenger Centurion · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 02/06 | Patrick Zahraj Challenger Centurion · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 01/07 | Ozan Baris Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Keegan Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Nicolas Mejia Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/06 | Martin Damm ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Thijmen Loof ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 18/05 | Stefano Travaglia French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 13/05 | Jan Choinski Challenger Zagreb · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 04/05 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Francavilla · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 09/04 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Robin Bertrand vs Juan Pablo Ficovich?
Our model gives 57% to Robin Bertrand, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.