Football · Australia WA Premier League Women · 17/07, 14:30
Prediction: Sorrento (W) vs Perth AFC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
Sorrento (W)0.62
Perth AFC (W)2.62
1X2
Sorrento (W)
Draw
Perth AFC (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2
Recent form · 10 last
Sorrento (W)
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Perth AFC (W)
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sorrento (W)
1–1–2
Perth AFC (W)
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sorrento (W) 1431 · Perth AFC (W) 1439
| Sorrento (W) | Draw | Perth AFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 6% | 15% | 79% |
| Market | 4% | 8% | 87% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.8
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Perth AFC (W): 2-1-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sorrento (W) | Perth AFC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.3 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | – / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0 | 0.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sorrento (W) 1–1–2 Perth AFC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women | Perth AFC (W) | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sorrento (W) |
| 08/06/25 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women | Sorrento (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Perth AFC (W) |
| 30/08/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women | Perth AFC (W) | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Sorrento (W) |
| 14/07/24 Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women | Sorrento (W) | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Perth AFC (W) |
Standings · Australia WA Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Perth SC (W) | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 2 | Fremantle City FC (W) | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 30 |
| 3 | Balcatta FC (W) | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Perth Redstar FC (W) | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 17 | 19 |
| 5 | Hyundai NTC Women | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | 17 |
| 6 | Subiaco AFC (W) | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | 14 |
| 7 | Sorrento (W) | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 9 |
| 8 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 42 | 6 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sorrento (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Subiaco AFC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Perth Redstar FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 21/06 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Perth SC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | Hyundai NTC Women Australia WA Premier League Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fremantle City FC (W) Australia WA State Cup Women |
0-4 | 0-6 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Balcatta FC (W) Australia WA Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Perth AFC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | East Perth FC Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 26/06 | Murdoch University Melville FC Div1 Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 19/06 | Mandurah City FC Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Subiaco AFC 2 Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 29/05 | Port Kennedy SC Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/05 | UWA-Nedlands FC 2 Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | Fremantle City 2 Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | East Perth FC Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Murdoch University Melville FC Div1 Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Mandurah City FC Women Australia Western Australia State League 1 Women |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sorrento (W) vs Perth AFC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Perth AFC (W) win (84%). Probabilities: Sorrento (W) 5%, draw 11%, Perth AFC (W) 84%.
How many goals are expected in Sorrento (W) vs Perth AFC (W)?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Sorrento (W) 0.62 · Perth AFC (W) 2.62), with a 61% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Sorrento (W) vs Perth AFC (W)?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.