Football · Brazil Serie B · 21/07, 00:00

Prediction: Atletico GO vs Athletic Club MG

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Atletico GO1.3
Athletic Club MG0.74
1X2
49% 30% 21%
Atletico GO Draw Athletic Club MG
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Atletico GO 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
DDLDWDDWLW
Athletic Club MG 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWDDLWLD
Head-to-head
Atletico GO 1–1–0 Athletic Club MG (2 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atletico GO 1509 · Athletic Club MG 1492
Atletico GODrawAthletic Club MG
Our model49%31%20%
Market50%29%21%
Estimated total (ours) 2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Atletico GOAthletic Club MG
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.10.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.92.5 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.13.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atletico GO 110 Athletic Club MG

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/08/25
Brazil Serie B
Athletic Club MG1-1
HT 1-1
Atletico GO
08/04/25
Brazil Serie B
Atletico GO4-2
HT 1-1
Athletic Club MG

Standings · Brazil Serie B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Criciuma 17962 201233
2 Vila Nova 17944 251931
3 Operario PR 17944 221831
4 Gremio Novorizontino 17863 281630
5 EC Juventude 17854 17829
6 Fortaleza 17845 201728
7 Sao Bernardo SP 17755 231626
8 Sport Recife 17683 211526
9 Goias 17746 182325
10 Atletico GO 17665 191924
11 Cuiaba 17593 141124
12 Athletic Club MG 17584 161623
13 Nautico 17638 212121
14 Botafogo SP 17557 201820
15 CRB 17557 263120
16 Londrina 17548 252519
17 Ceara 17467 152018
18 Avai 17449 182416
19 Ponte Preta 172213 11338
20 America MG 171412 11287

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentAtletico GOAthletic Club MG
Fortaleza 1-0 W 1-0 W
Sport Recife 1-1 D 1-1 D
Goias 1-1 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 0 L 1 W 2 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atletico GO

DDLDWDDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/07 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-0 17 W
04/07 Gremio Novorizontino
Brazil Serie B
0-1 0-3 63 L
28/06 Ponte Preta
Brazil Serie B
2-0 2-0 33 W
19/06 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 44 D
13/06 CRB
Brazil Serie B
0-3 3-3 137 D
09/06 America MG
Brazil Serie B
1-1 2-1 21 W
30/05 Goias
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 97 D
24/05 Sao Bernardo SP
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 82 L
17/05 Criciuma
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 97 D
15/05 Athletico Paranaense
Copa do Brasil
0-0 0-0 46 D

Athletic Club MG

LDWWDDLWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/07 Ceara
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-0 65 D
08/07 Operario PR
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-1 85 L
28/06 Avai
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 82 W
20/06 Londrina
Brazil Serie B
0-0 0-2 84 L
14/06 Goias
Brazil Serie B
0-1 1-1 58 D
11/06 Sport Recife
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-1 22 D
30/05 Fortaleza
Brazil Serie B
0-0 1-0 81 W
26/05 Botafogo SP
Brazil Serie B
1-0 2-1 26 W
17/05 EC Juventude
Brazil Serie B
1-0 1-1 55 D
13/05 Internacional
Copa do Brasil
1-2 2-3 62 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atletico GO vs Athletic Club MG?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atletico GO win (49%). Probabilities: Atletico GO 49%, draw 30%, Athletic Club MG 21%.

How many goals are expected in Atletico GO vs Athletic Club MG?

The model expects 2.04 goals (Atletico GO 1.3 · Athletic Club MG 0.74), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Atletico GO vs Athletic Club MG?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.