Prediction: Thimphu City vs Paro FC
| Thimphu City | Draw | Paro FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 10% | 16% | 74% |
| Market | 11% | 14% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Paro FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 13.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Thimphu City | Paro FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.9 | 3.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/67/11% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.6 | 3.6 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Thimphu City 0–2–4 Paro FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Thimphu City |
| 20/10/25 Bhutan Premier League | Thimphu City | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Paro FC |
| 06/07/25 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Thimphu City |
| 16/06/24 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Thimphu City |
| 03/08/23 Bhutan Premier League | Paro FC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Thimphu City |
| 05/01/23 Bhutan Premier League | Thimphu City | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Paro FC |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Thimphu City | Paro FC |
|---|---|---|
| Tensung FC | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Ugyen Academy | 7-1 W | 11-0 W |
| Transport United FC | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| RTC FC | 0-1 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 4 W 0 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Paro FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thimphu City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Drukpa FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 03/07 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 27/06 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
4-1 | 7-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 16/06 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/06 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 20/05 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 18/05 | Drukpa FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 14/05 | Paro FC Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 02/03 | BFF Academy U19 Bhutan Premier League Qualifiers |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
Paro FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Tensung FC Bhutan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | Ugyen Academy Bhutan Premier League |
5-0 | 11-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 28/05 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | RTC FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/10 | FC Abdysh-Ata Kant AFC Challenge League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 28/10 | Altyn Asyr FK AFC Challenge League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 25/10 | Al Shabab Seeb AFC Challenge League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 20/10 | Thimphu City Bhutan Premier League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/09 | Transport United FC Bhutan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thimphu City vs Paro FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Paro FC win (74%). Probabilities: Thimphu City 11%, draw 15%, Paro FC 74%.
How many goals are expected in Thimphu City vs Paro FC?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Thimphu City 0.95 · Paro FC 2.72), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Thimphu City vs Paro FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.