Football · Argentina Nacional B · 21/07, 20:00
Prediction: Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.93Total
Almagro1.09
Gimnasia y Tiro0.83
1X2
Almagro
Draw
Gimnasia y Tiro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Almagro
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia y Tiro
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almagro
0–1–4
Gimnasia y Tiro
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Almagro 1513 · Gimnasia y Tiro 1515
| Almagro | Draw | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 34% | 26% |
| Market | 40% | 33% | 27% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.93 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gimnasia y Tiro: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almagro | Gimnasia y Tiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.9 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almagro 0–1–4 Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 29/06/25 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Almagro |
| 22/02/25 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 19/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | Almagro | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia y Tiro |
| 02/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Almagro |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 36 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almagro | Gimnasia y Tiro |
|---|---|---|
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CA Atlanta | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Agropecuario | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Almagro (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almagro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Gimnasia y Tiro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almagro win (40%). Probabilities: Almagro 40%, draw 33%, Gimnasia y Tiro 26%.
How many goals are expected in Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The model expects 1.93 goals (Almagro 1.09 · Gimnasia y Tiro 0.83), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Almagro vs Gimnasia y Tiro?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.