Prediction: Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo
| Central Espanol | Draw | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 35% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Cerro Largo: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Espanol | Cerro Largo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.6 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.8 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Espanol 1–1–4 Cerro Largo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Central Espanol | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Cerro Largo |
| 22/09/18 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 28/04/18 Uruguay Segunda | Cerro Largo | 1-0 | Central Espanol |
| 15/11/17 Uruguay Segunda | Cerro Largo | 3-0 | Central Espanol |
| 28/06/17 Uruguay Segunda | Central Espanol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Cerro Largo |
| 10/09/16 Uruguay Segunda | Cerro Largo | 3-0 | Central Espanol |
Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Central Espanol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 3 | Cerro Largo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Boston River | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 7 | Liverpool Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Central Espanol | Cerro Largo |
|---|---|---|
| Boston River | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Racing Club de Montevideo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Penarol | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Cerro | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Albion FC | 1-6 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Cerro Largo (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Espanol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 02/06 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Defensor Sporting Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Boston River Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Cerro Uruguay Apertura |
2-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 18/04 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Danubio Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
Cerro Largo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Cerro Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 12/05 | Penarol Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | Boston River Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Cerro Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 05/04 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Espanol win (35%). Probabilities: Central Espanol 35%, draw 30%, Cerro Largo 35%.
How many goals are expected in Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
The model expects 2.27 goals (Central Espanol 1.13 · Cerro Largo 1.13), with a 51% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.