Football · Chile Primera B · 18/07, 18:30
Prediction: Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Deportes Copiapo1.35
Puerto Montt1.02
1X2
Deportes Copiapo
Draw
Puerto Montt
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Copiapo
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Puerto Montt
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Copiapo
3–1–2
Puerto Montt
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Copiapo 1468 · Puerto Montt 1518
| Deportes Copiapo | Draw | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 28% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Puerto Montt (rating 1468 vs 1518).
- H2H favours Deportes Copiapo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Copiapo | Puerto Montt | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.6 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.9 / 0.9 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Copiapo 3–1–2 Puerto Montt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 20/11/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 16/11/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 26/10/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportes Copiapo |
| 21/05/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 01/12/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Copiapo | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile Primera B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Copiapo | Puerto Montt |
|---|---|---|
| Cobreloa | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Union San Felipe | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Magallanes | 3-2 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Puerto Montt (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Copiapo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 02/06 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 26/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
3-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
Puerto Montt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 29/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Copiapo win (44%). Probabilities: Deportes Copiapo 44%, draw 29%, Puerto Montt 27%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Deportes Copiapo 1.35 · Puerto Montt 1.02), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Copiapo vs Puerto Montt?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.