Football · Chile Primera B · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Deportes Temuco vs Cobreloa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Deportes Temuco1.55
Cobreloa1.26
1X2
Deportes Temuco
Draw
Cobreloa
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Temuco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Cobreloa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Temuco
2–4
Cobreloa
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Temuco 1453 · Cobreloa 1548
| Deportes Temuco | Draw | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cobreloa (rating 1453 vs 1548).
- H2H favours Cobreloa: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Temuco | Cobreloa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.2 | 1.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.8 | 2.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Temuco 2–0–4 Cobreloa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/26 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Deportes Temuco |
| 12/10/25 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Temuco |
| 31/05/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Cobreloa |
| 30/09/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Cobreloa |
| 22/05/23 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 15/10/22 Chile Primera B | Cobreloa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Temuco |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 07/07 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Huachipato Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Deportes Concepcion Chile Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
Cobreloa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/07 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | La Serena Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Cobresal Chile Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Temuco vs Cobreloa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Temuco win (43%). Probabilities: Deportes Temuco 43%, draw 27%, Cobreloa 30%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Temuco vs Cobreloa?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Deportes Temuco 1.55 · Cobreloa 1.26), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Temuco vs Cobreloa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.