Football · Chile Primera B · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Deportes Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Deportes Recoleta1.37
Santiago Wanderers1.29
1X2
Deportes Recoleta
Draw
Santiago Wanderers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Deportes Recoleta
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportes Recoleta
3–3–0
Santiago Wanderers
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportes Recoleta 1474 · Santiago Wanderers 1469
| Deportes Recoleta | Draw | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Recoleta: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 11.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportes Recoleta | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportes Recoleta 3–3–0 Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 23/08/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 18/04/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 16/07/24 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportes Recoleta |
| 25/02/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 22/07/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Recoleta | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportes Recoleta | Santiago Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportes Recoleta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | O'Higgins Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 20/06 | Colo Colo Chile Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 05/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 7 | L |
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 03/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 28/04 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportes Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportes Recoleta win (38%). Probabilities: Deportes Recoleta 38%, draw 28%, Santiago Wanderers 34%.
How many goals are expected in Deportes Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Deportes Recoleta 1.37 · Santiago Wanderers 1.29), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportes Recoleta vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.