Football · Chile Primera B · 18/07, 18:30
Prediction: Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.89Total
Union San Felipe1.49
Deportes Iquique1.41
1X2
Union San Felipe
Draw
Deportes Iquique
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Union San Felipe
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Deportes Iquique
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Union San Felipe
2–1–3
Deportes Iquique
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Union San Felipe 1470 · Deportes Iquique 1502
| Union San Felipe | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 27% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 27% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.89 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Deportes Iquique: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Union San Felipe | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.7 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Union San Felipe 2–1–3 Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 13/08/23 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Iquique |
| 26/03/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 22/10/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
| 21/05/22 Chile Primera B | Union San Felipe | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 20/10/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union San Felipe |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 26 |
| 3 | San Marcos De Arica | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 25 |
| 4 | Deportes Temuco | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 23 |
| 6 | San Luis Quillota | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 23 |
| 8 | Union Espanola | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 22 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 10 | Magallanes | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Deportes Copiapo | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 23 | 22 |
| 12 | Curico Unido | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 18 |
| 13 | Union San Felipe | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 27 | 16 |
| 14 | Deportes Iquique | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 23 | 13 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 15 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 28 | 3 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Union San Felipe | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Magallanes | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Union San Felipe (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Union San Felipe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad de Chile Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Union La Calera Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 27/06 | Deportes Limache Chile Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Coquimbo Unido Chile Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/04 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Union San Felipe win (38%). Probabilities: Union San Felipe 38%, draw 27%, Deportes Iquique 35%.
How many goals are expected in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
The model expects 2.89 goals (Union San Felipe 1.49 · Deportes Iquique 1.41), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Union San Felipe vs Deportes Iquique?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.