Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 18/07, 09:00

Prediction: Western Rage vs Hawkesbury City SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.03Total

Western Rage2.07

Hawkesbury City SC1.96

1X2

41% 22% 37%

Western Rage Draw Hawkesbury City SC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Western Rage 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Hawkesbury City SC 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Western Rage 5–1–0 Hawkesbury City SC (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Western Rage 1523 · Hawkesbury City SC 1486

	Western Rage	Draw	Hawkesbury City SC
Our model	41%	22%	37%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 4.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Western Rage: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Western Rage	Hawkesbury City SC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2	1.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	1.3 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Western Rage 5–1–0 Hawkesbury City SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Australia New South Wales League 2	Hawkesbury City SC	2-3 HT 1-3	Western Rage
07/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Western Rage	1-1 HT 1-0	Hawkesbury City SC
21/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 2	Hawkesbury City SC	1-7 HT 0-3	Western Rage
13/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Hawkesbury City SC	1-3 HT 0-2	Western Rage
07/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 2	Western Rage	6-1 HT 1-1	Hawkesbury City SC
09/06/23 Australia New South Wales League 2	Hawkesbury City SC	1-2 HT 0-1	Western Rage

Standings · Australia New South Wales League 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Mounties Wanderers	21	17	2	2	74	21	53
2	Parramatta Eagles	21	11	3	7	47	31	36
3	Bonnyrigg White Eagles	21	11	2	8	40	36	35
4	Dunbar Rovers FC	22	10	4	8	38	30	34
5	Fraser Park	21	9	6	6	35	23	33
6	Western Rage	21	9	5	7	43	48	32
7	Sydney University	22	9	4	9	35	29	31
8	Hawkesbury City SC	21	9	3	9	39	53	30
9	South Coast Flame FC	21	8	6	7	28	27	30
10	Central Coast United FC	21	8	5	8	32	34	29
11	Nepean FC	21	8	3	10	35	45	27
12	Inner West Hawks	22	7	4	11	31	37	25
13	Gladesville Ryde Magic	22	8	1	13	35	50	25
14	Bankstown United FC	21	5	6	10	25	40	21
15	Camden Tigers SC	22	1	6	15	28	61	9

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Western Rage	Hawkesbury City SC
Dunbar Rovers FC	1-1 D	3-2 W
Bonnyrigg White Eagles	3-2 W	1-2 L
Sydney University	1-1 D	0-8 L
Inner West Hawks	2-1 W	2-0 W
Mounties Wanderers	1-4 L	0-4 L
Nepean FC	1-2 L	3-3 D
South Coast Flame FC	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hawkesbury City SC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Western Rage

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	3-2	4	5	W
04/07	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
28/06	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
20/06	Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
13/06	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/06	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/05	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	1-3	1-4	0	2	L
16/05	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-1	1-2	5	7	L
09/05	Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	3-2	–	–	W
02/05	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	0-2	5	0	L

Hawkesbury City SC

DLWWWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/07	Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2	0-3	0-8	–	–	L
04/07	Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
27/06	Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
20/06	Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/06	Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	4-1	4	2	W
23/05	Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
16/05	Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
08/05	Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2	0-0	0-4	3	2	L
02/05	Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2	1-0	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Western Rage vs Hawkesbury City SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Western Rage win (41%). Probabilities: Western Rage 41%, draw 22%, Hawkesbury City SC 37%.

How many goals are expected in Western Rage vs Hawkesbury City SC?

The model expects 4.03 goals (Western Rage 2.07 · Hawkesbury City SC 1.96), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Western Rage vs Hawkesbury City SC?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.