Football · Argentina Nacional B · 18/07, 22:00
Prediction: CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
CA Colegiales1.11
Ferrocarril Midland0.8
1X2
CA Colegiales
Draw
Ferrocarril Midland
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
CA Colegiales
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ferrocarril Midland
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CA Colegiales
0–1–2
Ferrocarril Midland
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CA Colegiales 1507 · Ferrocarril Midland 1529
| CA Colegiales | Draw | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 42% | 33% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.91 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Ferrocarril Midland: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CA Colegiales | Ferrocarril Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.2 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CA Colegiales 0–1–2 Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Ferrocarril Midland | 2-0 HT 1-0 | CA Colegiales |
| 15/09/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Ferrocarril Midland | 2-1 HT 2-1 | CA Colegiales |
| 28/04/24 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | CA Colegiales | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Ferrocarril Midland |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CA Colegiales | Ferrocarril Midland |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Quilmes | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Agropecuario | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Tristan Suarez | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| CA Guemes | 4-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 5 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CA Colegiales
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 13/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 06/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/04 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Ferrocarril Midland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 13/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CA Colegiales win (41%). Probabilities: CA Colegiales 41%, draw 33%, Ferrocarril Midland 25%.
How many goals are expected in CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model expects 1.91 goals (CA Colegiales 1.11 · Ferrocarril Midland 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CA Colegiales vs Ferrocarril Midland?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.