Football · Argentina Nacional B · 21/07, 01:00
Prediction: Patronato Parana vs CA Atlanta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.7Total
Patronato Parana0.9
CA Atlanta0.8
1X2
Patronato Parana
Draw
CA Atlanta
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 52%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Patronato Parana
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
CA Atlanta
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Patronato Parana
0–3–0
CA Atlanta
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Patronato Parana 1493 · CA Atlanta 1546
| Patronato Parana | Draw | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 37% | 29% |
| Market | 36% | 33% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.7 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CA Atlanta (rating 1493 vs 1546).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Patronato Parana | CA Atlanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/80/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.9 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Patronato Parana 0–3–0 CA Atlanta
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Patronato Parana |
| 31/08/25 Argentina Nacional B | Patronato Parana | 0-0 HT 0-0 | CA Atlanta |
| 26/04/25 Argentina Nacional B | CA Atlanta | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Patronato Parana |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Patronato Parana | CA Atlanta |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Ferrocarril Midland | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Atletico Rafaela | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Agropecuario | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Tristan Suarez | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 5 D 1 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CA Atlanta (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Patronato Parana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 21/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 14/06 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 31/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
CA Atlanta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 25/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Patronato Parana vs CA Atlanta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Patronato Parana win (35%). Probabilities: Patronato Parana 35%, draw 35%, CA Atlanta 30%.
How many goals are expected in Patronato Parana vs CA Atlanta?
The model expects 1.7 goals (Patronato Parana 0.9 · CA Atlanta 0.8), with a 52% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Patronato Parana vs CA Atlanta?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.