Football · Argentina Nacional B · 21/07, 01:00
Prediction: Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.89Total
Quilmes1.04
Gimnasia Jujuy0.85
1X2
Quilmes
Draw
Gimnasia Jujuy
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Quilmes
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Gimnasia Jujuy
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Quilmes
4–2
Gimnasia Jujuy
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Quilmes 1484 · Gimnasia Jujuy 1535
| Quilmes | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 34% | 28% |
| Market | 39% | 32% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.89 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Jujuy (rating 1484 vs 1535).
- H2H favours Quilmes: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Quilmes | Gimnasia Jujuy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6.2 | 2.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Quilmes 4–0–2 Gimnasia Jujuy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Quilmes |
| 06/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Quilmes |
| 19/05/24 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Gimnasia Jujuy |
| 01/07/23 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Quilmes |
| 25/02/23 Argentina Nacional B | Quilmes | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia Jujuy |
| 08/08/22 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Jujuy | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Quilmes |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Quilmes | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|
| Ferrocarril Midland | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| CA Atlanta | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Gimnasia y Tiro | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Martin de Tucuman | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| CA Guemes | 1-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Chacarita Juniors | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Quilmes (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Quilmes
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 04/07 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 13/06 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Atletico Rafaela Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Agropecuario Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | D |
Gimnasia Jujuy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Chacarita Juniors Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 21/06 | CA Guemes Argentina Nacional B |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 17/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | CA Atlanta Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Belgrano Argentina Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/05 | San Martin de Tucuman Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Quilmes win (39%). Probabilities: Quilmes 39%, draw 33%, Gimnasia Jujuy 28%.
How many goals are expected in Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
The model expects 1.89 goals (Quilmes 1.04 · Gimnasia Jujuy 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Quilmes vs Gimnasia Jujuy?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.