Football · Argentina Nacional B · 20/07, 20:00
Prediction: Chacarita Juniors vs CA Guemes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Chacarita Juniors1.39
CA Guemes0.82
1X2
Chacarita Juniors
Draw
CA Guemes
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Chacarita Juniors
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
CA Guemes
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chacarita Juniors
2–2
CA Guemes
(4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chacarita Juniors 1483 · CA Guemes 1445
| Chacarita Juniors | Draw | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.2 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chacarita Juniors | CA Guemes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.8 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chacarita Juniors 2–0–2 CA Guemes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 19/10/24 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
| 01/06/24 Argentina Nacional B | Chacarita Juniors | 2-0 HT 2-0 | CA Guemes |
| 18/09/22 Argentina Nacional B | CA Guemes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chacarita Juniors |
Standings · Argentina Nacional B · Primera Nacional 2026, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | CA Atlanta | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Tristan Suarez | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 33 |
| 4 | Club Atletico Temperley | 20 | 7 | 10 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferrocarril Midland | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 30 |
| 6 | San Martin de Tucuman | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 21 | 28 |
| 8 | Atletico Rafaela | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | San Martin SJ | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 19 | 26 |
| 10 | Nueva Chicago | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 25 |
| 12 | Almagro | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 22 | 25 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 16 | 24 |
| 14 | CA Colegiales | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 23 |
| 15 | Chacarita Juniors | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 21 | 23 |
| 16 | Patronato Parana | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 22 |
| 17 | Agropecuario | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 24 | 19 |
| 18 | CA Guemes | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 19 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chacarita Juniors | CA Guemes |
|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| San Martin SJ | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Nueva Chicago | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Club Atletico Temperley | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Deportivo Maipu | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Almagro | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Patronato Parana | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| CA Colegiales | 2-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Quilmes | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 4 L | 3 W 0 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Chacarita Juniors (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chacarita Juniors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 21/06 | Tristan Suarez Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 07/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
CA Guemes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | San Martin SJ Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/07 | Nueva Chicago Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 21/06 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 14/06 | Club Atletico Temperley Argentina Nacional B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Deportivo Maipu Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Almagro Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Patronato Parana Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | CA Colegiales Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/05 | Quilmes Argentina Nacional B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Ferrocarril Midland Argentina Nacional B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chacarita Juniors vs CA Guemes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chacarita Juniors win (49%). Probabilities: Chacarita Juniors 49%, draw 30%, CA Guemes 21%.
How many goals are expected in Chacarita Juniors vs CA Guemes?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Chacarita Juniors 1.39 · CA Guemes 0.82), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chacarita Juniors vs CA Guemes?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.