Basketball · Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa · 16/07, 02:00

Prediction: Jaguares UAM vs Brumas de Jinotega

Prediction summary

Estimated points

154.9Total

Jaguares UAM81.3

Brumas de Jinotega73.6

1X2

71% 29%

Jaguares UAM Brumas de Jinotega

Recent form · 10 last

Jaguares UAM 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Brumas de Jinotega 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Jaguares UAM 5–1 Brumas de Jinotega (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaguares UAM 1648 · Brumas de Jinotega 1592

	Jaguares UAM	Brumas de Jinotega
Our model	70%	30%
Market	71%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 154.9 points · Bet365 line 158.5 · -3.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

Estimated points154.9Jaguares UAM 81.3 · Brumas de Jinotega 73.6

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaguares UAM (rating 1648 vs 1592).
Jaguares UAM is a clear favourite (71% market).
H2H favours Jaguares UAM: 5-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

	Jaguares UAM	Brumas de Jinotega
Points F\|A (Last 10)	103.8 / 63	81.1 / 62.8
Points F\|A (Last 5)	99 / 70.2	77.2 / 65.6
Est. result	81	74

Est. total154.9

Line O/U158.5

Diff.3.6

The points split reflects each team's scoring pace; the win probability also factors in home-court advantage.

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaguares UAM 5–0–1 Brumas de Jinotega

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/10/25 Nicaragua LSB	Brumas de Jinotega	84-95	Jaguares UAM
11/10/25 Nicaragua LSB	Jaguares UAM	77-64	Brumas de Jinotega
27/09/25 Nicaragua LSB	Brumas de Jinotega	81-85	Jaguares UAM
15/06/25 Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	Jaguares UAM	72-75	Brumas de Jinotega
15/10/24 Nicaragua LSB	Jaguares UAM	73-51	Brumas de Jinotega
13/10/24 Nicaragua LSB	Brumas de Jinotega	75-80	Jaguares UAM

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jaguares UAM	Brumas de Jinotega
Flecheros de Matagalpa	86-75 W	78-70 W
Unan Managua	83-47 W	78-53 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Jaguares UAM (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaguares UAM

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	86-75	W
11/07	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	88-81	W
28/06	Mineros Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	102-74	W
28/06	Mineros La Libertad Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	102-74	W
21/06	Indigenas de San Isidro Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	117-47	W
15/06	Americas 2 (Nicaragua) Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	106-55	W
25/05	Leon Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	175-51	W
17/05	Tigres de Chinandega Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	78-54	W
11/05	Unan Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	83-47	W
10/05	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	101-72	W

Brumas de Jinotega

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Date	Opponent	FT	Res.
12/07	Leones de Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	72-59	W
11/07	Leones de Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	86-70	W
28/06	La Trinidad Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	73-63	W
26/06	La Trinidad Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	81-66	W
22/06	Tipitapa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	74-70	W
21/06	Tipitapa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	90-80	W
15/06	Unan Managua Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	78-53	W
14/06	Flecheros de Matagalpa Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	78-70	W
07/06	Academia LAV Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	44-25	W
01/06	Frente Sur Rivas Nicaragua Torneo Carlos Ulloa	135-72	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaguares UAM vs Brumas de Jinotega?

Our model gives 71% to Jaguares UAM.

How many points are expected in Jaguares UAM vs Brumas de Jinotega?

The model estimates 154.9 total points (Jaguares UAM 81.3 · Brumas de Jinotega 73.6).