Tennis · ATP Umag · 14/07, 16:00

Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

Prediction summary
Winner
65% 35%
Fabian Marozsan Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Fabian Marozsan 5-5 (W-L)
LLWLLWWWWL
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-4 (W-L)
WWWWLLLLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fabian Marozsan 1525 · Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 1522
Fabian MarozsanJuan Carlos Prado Angelo
Our model50%50%
Market76%24%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Fabian MarozsanJuan Carlos Prado Angelo
Win %50%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.41.3-1.2
Games (G-P)12.1-13.412.1-13
Aces6.49.4
Double faults2.22.2
1st serve %71.7%66%
Break %28.2%36.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.8
Over 20.5: 75% · 1.90 Under 20.5: 25% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fabian Marozsan

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
01/07 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 6-18 L
29/06 Thiago Agustin Tirante
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-12 W
26/06 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Mallorca · Grass
1-2 13-17 L
25/06 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Mallorca · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
23/06 Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Mallorca · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
22/06 Alex Molcan
ATP Mallorca · Grass
2-1 16-18 W
18/06 Taylor Fritz
ATP Halle · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
16/06 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Halle · Grass
2-1 15-13 W
08/06 Gauthier Onclin
ATP Stuttgart · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
24/05 Miomir Kecmanovic
French Open · Clay
0-3 13-19 L

Juan Carlos Prado Angelo

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
12/07 Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
11/07 Marc Majdandzic
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
07/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
30/06 David Jorda Sanchis
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
22/06 Daniel Evans
Wimbledon · Grass
0-2 9-13 L
26/05 Martin Landaluce
French Open · Clay
2-3 22-28 L
21/05 Coleman Wong
French Open · Clay
2-1 15-13 W
20/05 Daniil Glinka
French Open · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/05 Mackenzie McDonald
French Open · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
12/05 Leandro Riedi
Challenger Valencia · Clay
1-2 11-18 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos Prado Angelo?

Our model gives 65% to Fabian Marozsan, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.