Prediction: Jaqueline Adina Cristian vs Leolia Jeanjean
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaqueline Adina Cristian
Leolia Jeanjean
Estimated games
23.4Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaqueline Adina Cristian
5-5 (W-L)
Leolia Jeanjean
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaqueline Adina Cristian 1482 · Leolia Jeanjean 1531
| Jaqueline Adina Cristian | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leolia Jeanjean (rating 1482 vs 1531).
- Leolia Jeanjean is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Leolia Jeanjean makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Jaqueline Adina Cristian | Leolia Jeanjean | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-12 | 12.6-11.6 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.7% | 67% |
| Break % | 41.7% | 48.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +2.9
Over 20.5: 70% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 30% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaqueline Adina Cristian
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | Iva Jovic Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Katie Boulter WTA Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/05 | Kamilla Rakhimova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 22/05 | Victoria Mboko WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/05 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/05 | Clara Tauson WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 18/05 | McCartney Kessler WTA Strasbourg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/05 | Karolina Pliskova WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 25/04 | Aryna Sabalenka WTA Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Leolia Jeanjean
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/07 | Alice Tubello WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 07/07 | Amandine Monnot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Daria Snigur Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Veronika Erjavec Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Ekaterine Gorgodze Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Xiaodi You Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/06 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaqueline Adina Cristian vs Leolia Jeanjean?
Our model gives 57% to Jaqueline Adina Cristian, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.