Tennis · W50 Nottingham · 12/07, 14:00
Prediction: Warona Mdlulwa vs Eva Shaw
Prediction summary
Winner
Warona Mdlulwa
Eva Shaw
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Warona Mdlulwa
2-8 (W-L)
Eva Shaw
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Warona Mdlulwa 1456 · Eva Shaw 1524
| Warona Mdlulwa | Eva Shaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 14% | 86% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Shaw (rating 1456 vs 1524).
- Eva Shaw is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Warona Mdlulwa makes many double faults (7/match).
Statistics
| Warona Mdlulwa | Eva Shaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.4-11.9 | 11-10.3 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 3.3 |
| Double faults | 7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 55.5% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 45.6% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Warona Mdlulwa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04 | Alyssa Reguer W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/04 | Wozuko Mdlulwa W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Ambar Corbalan Miranda W35 Junin · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 17/03 | Martina Okalova W50 Chihuahua |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/03 | Sabastiani Leon W50 Chihuahua |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/03 | Maria F Navarro Oliva W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/03 | Michelle Kelly Tikhonko W35 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/03 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 03/03 | Lya Fernandez W15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 01/02 | Adrienn Nagy W50 Porto |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Eva Shaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Sophia Hurrion W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/07 | Margot Phanthala W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 03/07 | Yasmin Ezzat W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Lamiss Houas W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Aya El Sayed W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 30/06 | Virginia Proietti W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 23/06 | Lenka Munzarova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Tegan Bush ITF W35 Aldershot · Hard |
1-2 | 12-10 | L |
| 10/08 | Nicole Gadient ITF W35 Aldershot · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Warona Mdlulwa vs Eva Shaw?
Our model gives 74% to Eva Shaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.