Tennis · UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · 11/07, 18:00
Prediction: Mary Grace Rennard vs Victoria Mann
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Grace Rennard
Victoria Mann
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Grace Rennard
3-7 (W-L)
Victoria Mann
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Grace Rennard 1415 · Victoria Mann 1487
| Mary Grace Rennard | Victoria Mann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Victoria Mann (rating 1415 vs 1487).
Statistics
| Mary Grace Rennard | Victoria Mann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-12 | 9-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 53.6% | 57.6% |
| Break % | 42.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Grace Rennard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Natalie Oliver UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 09/07 | Lexie Weir UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 08/07 | Susana Souhrada UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Aya Manning UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 20/05 | Kerrigan Spiers UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/05 | Georgia Kulevich UTR Pro Tuscaloosa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/01 | Tzeng Mu-Jie UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/01 | Theodora Xantava UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/12 | Rachel Wu UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/12 | Ella Brownback UTR Pro Waco Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Victoria Mann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Oziera Ahmad UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Andrea Chacon UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Mariana Manyoma UTR Pro Winston-Salem Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Valerie Shue UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Mayra Gisone UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 03/06 | Eva Frissora UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Caroline Manzi UTR Pro Philadelphia Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/04 | Sobee Oak UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 03/04 | Sadbaroy Kholdarova UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/04 | Savanna Ly-Nguyen UTR Pro Murfreesboro Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Grace Rennard vs Victoria Mann?
Our model gives 53% to Victoria Mann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.