Tennis · M15 Lodz · 11/07, 11:30
Prediction: Vladyslav Orlov vs Imanol Lopez Morillo
Prediction summary
Winner
Vladyslav Orlov
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Vladyslav Orlov
7-3 (W-L)
Imanol Lopez Morillo
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vladyslav Orlov 1565 · Imanol Lopez Morillo 1508
| Vladyslav Orlov | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vladyslav Orlov (rating 1565 vs 1508).
Statistics
| Vladyslav Orlov | Imanol Lopez Morillo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.7 | 9.9-8.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 2 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 69.7% | 67.7% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 50.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vladyslav Orlov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Jan Chlodnicki M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Jakub Vrtilka M15 Lodz |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 05/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Stefan Popovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/07 | Petar Jovanovic M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/07 | Obrad Markovski M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 11-5 | W |
| 02/07 | Nikola Kolyachev M25 Skopje · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Stefan Seifert M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Mateusz Miton M15 Rzeszow · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Imanol Lopez Morillo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Lorenzo Balducci M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Marcel Kamrowski M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/07 | Daniel Tazabekov M15 Lodz |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/06 | Calvin Mueller M25 Marburg · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/06 | Maximilian Borisov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/06 | Olle Wallin Challenger Poznan · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 11/06 | Pedro Sakamoto M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Patrik Homola M25 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 8-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vladyslav Orlov vs Imanol Lopez Morillo?
Our model gives 57% to Vladyslav Orlov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.