Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 09/07, 19:30
Prediction: Rudy Quan vs Noah Zamora
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Noah Zamora; the market gives 44% to Noah Zamora (odds 2.10).
Recent form leaves Rudy Quan with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Noah Zamora has piled up 7-3 in the same span.
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rudy Quan 1481 · Noah Zamora 1569
| Rudy Quan | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noah Zamora (rating 1481 vs 1569).
- Head-to-head: Rudy Quan 1–0 Noah Zamora (1).
Statistics
| Rudy Quan | Noah Zamora | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.4-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-11.8 | 11.2-8.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 70.1% |
| Break % | 48.9% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.4
H2H · Rudy Quan 1 – 0 Noah Zamora (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rudy Quan 1–0 Noah Zamora
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/25 M15 Rancho Santa Fe | 1-0 | 12-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rudy Quan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Henry Ren M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Karl Kazuma Lee M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 17/06 | Emon Van Loben Sels M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Gus Grumet Challenger Fairfield · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 17/09 | Alexander Kotzen ITF M15 Fayetteville · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Joshua Sheehy Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Justin Roberts ITF M15 Huntsville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Nicholas Heng ITF M15 Huntsville · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
Noah Zamora
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Matic Kriznik M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/07 | Benjamin O'Connell M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Noah Johnston M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Jack Satterfield M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Stian Klaassen M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/06 | Kelly Giese M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Spencer Johnson M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Nathan Cox M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rudy Quan vs Noah Zamora?
Our model gives 52% to Noah Zamora, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.