Tennis · M15 Rancho Santa Fe · 09/07, 18:00
Prediction: Nav Dayal vs Ronald Hohmann
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 58% to Ronald Hohmann; the market gives 66% to Ronald Hohmann (odds 1.40).
Recent form leaves Nav Dayal with 3 wins and 7 losses over 10 games; Ronald Hohmann has piled up 4-6 in the same span.
63%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nav Dayal 1444 · Ronald Hohmann 1501
| Nav Dayal | Ronald Hohmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ronald Hohmann (rating 1444 vs 1501).
Statistics
| Nav Dayal | Ronald Hohmann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 22% (9) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.4 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.8-9.8 | 10.7-11 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 70.9% |
| Break % | 27.5% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nav Dayal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Rafael De Alba M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Bryce Nakashima M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/06 | William Zhang M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Kenta Miyoshi M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Connor Church M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Lambert Ruland M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Timofey Stepanov M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Iiro Vasa M15 Lakewood · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/02 | Milos Karol M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 27/11 | Fausto Tabacco M25 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-11 | L |
Ronald Hohmann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | William Kleege M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Alexander Petrov M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-8 | L |
| 02/06 | Braden Shick Challenger Tyler · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 01/06 | Adria Soriano Barrera Challenger Tyler · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 27/05 | Tyler Zink Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 25/05 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/05 | Dan Martin Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 21/04 | Matthew Segura M15 Orlando · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-10 | L |
| 12/04 | Garrett Johns Challenger Tallahassee · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nav Dayal vs Ronald Hohmann?
Our model gives 63% to Ronald Hohmann, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.