Tennis · M25 Laval · 09/07, 17:30

Prediction: Tristan Stringer vs Strong Kirchheimer

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 60% to Tristan Stringer; the market gives 59% to Strong Kirchheimer (odds 1.57).

On recent form, Tristan Stringer is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Strong Kirchheimer 4-6 over theirs.

51%2
49% 51%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tristan Stringer 1534 · Strong Kirchheimer 1467
Tristan StringerStrong Kirchheimer
Our model60%40%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tristan Stringer (rating 1534 vs 1467).
  • Tristan Stringer dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 55.4% break avg.
  • Tristan Stringer is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Tristan StringerStrong Kirchheimer
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (9) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.91-1.5
Games (G-P)12.1-10.411.4-13.2
Aces6.53.8
Double faults1.92.6
1st serve %69.8%66.3%
Break %55.4%38.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tristan Stringer

LWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/07 Volodymyr Gurenko
M25 Laval
2-0 13-7 W
16/06 Jack Satterfield
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
11/06 Gus Grumet
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
11/06 Avery Tallakson
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
27/05 Theodore Dean
M15 Lakewood · ~Hard
1-2 11-15 L
26/04 Anton Shepp
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-1 15-15 W
25/04 Hikaru Shiraishi
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
24/04 Emile Hudd
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-1 16-14 W
23/04 Jaden Dewandaka Tan
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-1 14-8 W
22/04 Shinji Hazawa
M15 Singapore · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Strong Kirchheimer

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
09/07 Miko Lapalme
M25 Laval
2-0 12-8 W
20/06 Spencer Johnson
M15 Irvine · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
11/06 Nathan Trouve
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
1-2 15-16 L
19/04 Braden Shick
Challenger Savannah · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
12/04 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Tallahassee · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/04 Daniil Glinka
Challenger Sarasota · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
07/04 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Sarasota · Clay
2-1 18-17 W
06/04 Christian Langmo
Challenger Sarasota · Clay
2-1 17-18 W
05/04 Benjamin Kittay
Challenger Sarasota · Clay
2-1 16-10 W
18/03 Daniil Kakhniuk
M25 Bakersfield · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tristan Stringer vs Strong Kirchheimer?

Our model gives 51% to Strong Kirchheimer, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.