Tennis · W100 Aschaffenburg · 09/07, 12:30
Prediction: Lidia Encheva vs Julia Avdeeva
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 51% to Lidia Encheva; the market gives 69% to Julia Avdeeva (odds 1.36).
On recent form, Lidia Encheva is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Julia Avdeeva 7-3 over theirs.
60%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lidia Encheva 1566 · Julia Avdeeva 1558
| Lidia Encheva | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Julia Avdeeva dominates on serve: 8.9 aces and 56% break avg.
- Note: Lidia Encheva makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Julia Avdeeva makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Lidia Encheva | Julia Avdeeva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-10 | 11.3-9.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 8.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.4% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 56% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lidia Encheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Mina Hodzic W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 07/07 | Kailey Evans W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Rasheeda McAdoo W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 01/07 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Arina Gabriela Vasilescu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Tina Manescu W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 20/06 | Selena Janicijevic W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-14 | L |
| 19/06 | Cagla Buyukakcay W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 18/06 | Hibah Shaikh W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Irina Fetecau W50 Haskovo · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
Julia Avdeeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Tena Lukas W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/06 | Anna Blinkova WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Eva Vedder W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/06 | Denisa Zoldakova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/06 | Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/06 | Alena Kovackova W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 26/05 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Elena Pridankina French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Eleejah Inisan French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lidia Encheva vs Julia Avdeeva?
Our model gives 60% to Julia Avdeeva, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.