Tennis · M25 Dallas · 09/07, 19:00
Prediction: Mitchell Krueger vs Oliver Okonkwo
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 52% to Oliver Okonkwo; the market gives 78% to Mitchell Krueger (odds 1.20).
Over their last 10 matches, Mitchell Krueger sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Oliver Okonkwo arrives on a 2-8 run.
65%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mitchell Krueger 1477 · Oliver Okonkwo 1488
| Mitchell Krueger | Oliver Okonkwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Mitchell Krueger | Oliver Okonkwo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.4 | 11.1-13.1 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 67.9% |
| Break % | 34.9% | 24.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mitchell Krueger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Mitric M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/06 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Jay Friend Challenger Little Rock · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/05 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Cervia · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 11/05 | Benjamin Hassan Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 10/05 | Viktor Durasovic Challenger Oeiras · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/04 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Savannah · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 24/04 | Braden Shick Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 21/04 | Michael Antonius Challenger Savannah · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
Oliver Okonkwo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Liam Krall M25 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/06 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/06 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 09/06 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/06 | Ben Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Antoine Ghibaudo Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 31/05 | August Holmgren Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Nick Hardt M25 Pensacola · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/05 | Tristan McCormick M15 Vero Beach · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/04 | Liam Krall M15 Orange Park · ~Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mitchell Krueger vs Oliver Okonkwo?
Our model gives 65% to Mitchell Krueger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.