Tennis · W15 Monastir · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Zoe Ulrich vs Aya El Sayed
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 56% to Aya El Sayed; the market gives 50% to Aya El Sayed (odds 1.83).
On recent form, Zoe Ulrich is 6-4 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Aya El Sayed 6-4 over theirs.
53%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zoe Ulrich 1513 · Aya El Sayed 1555
| Zoe Ulrich | Aya El Sayed | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aya El Sayed (rating 1513 vs 1555).
- Note: Zoe Ulrich makes many double faults (7.8/match).
Statistics
| Zoe Ulrich | Aya El Sayed | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-9.7 | 12.4-9.8 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 3.1 |
| Double faults | 7.8 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 54.8% | 62.1% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 58.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zoe Ulrich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Emma Mazzoni W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/07 | Allegra Fiorani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/06 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Amy Stevens W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 28/06 | Alice Soulie W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/06 | Carla Grignac W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/06 | Charlotte Narti W15 Dinard · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Oana Georgeta Simion W35 Nice |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 10/02 | Iva Ivanova W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 04/02 | Valentina Steiner W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Aya El Sayed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Lucia Llinares Domingo W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 01/07 | Eva Shaw W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Sara Milanese W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Helena Muzinic W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/05 | Ulyana Hrabavets W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/05 | Vlada Mincheva W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 22/05 | Zoziya Kardava W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/05 | Victoria Kapcia W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/05 | Athina Schlepphorst W15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/05 | Esther Adeshina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zoe Ulrich vs Aya El Sayed?
Our model gives 53% to Aya El Sayed, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.