Tennis · M15 Monastir · 09/07, 10:30
Prediction: Felipe Virgili Berini vs Jacob Bradshaw
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 62% to Jacob Bradshaw; the market gives 75% to Jacob Bradshaw (odds 1.25).
Over their last 10 matches, Felipe Virgili Berini sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Jacob Bradshaw arrives on a 8-2 run.
69%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felipe Virgili Berini 1474 · Jacob Bradshaw 1560
| Felipe Virgili Berini | Jacob Bradshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Bradshaw (rating 1474 vs 1560).
- Jacob Bradshaw is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Felipe Virgili Berini | Jacob Bradshaw | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.1 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.7-10.4 | 12.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 52.8% | 71.5% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felipe Virgili Berini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Ammar Faleh Alhogbani M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Pranav Karthik M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-10 | L |
| 20/05 | Jorge Plans M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-0 | 13-12 | W |
| 02/04 | Roberto Carballes Baena Challenger Menorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Alessandro Mondazzi M15 Foggia · ~Clay |
1-1 | 9-10 | L |
| 12/03 | Lorenzo Berto M15 Porec · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-10 | L |
| 10/03 | Sergi Fita Juan M15 Porec · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/12 | Moise Kouame M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/12 | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 24/12 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Jacob Bradshaw
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Nathan Blokhin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/06 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-10 | L |
| 07/06 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/06 | Benjamin Willwerth M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Aziz Ouakaa M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 04/06 | Marcus Walters M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/05 | Patrick Schoen M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Stefan Cooper M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/05 | Espen Lagarde M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 10/05 | Maxime Chazal M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felipe Virgili Berini vs Jacob Bradshaw?
Our model gives 69% to Jacob Bradshaw, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.