Tennis · W15 Luan · 09/07, 04:00

Prediction: JiaYi Wang vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong

Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 64% to JiaYi Wang; the market gives 79% to JiaYi Wang (odds 1.17).

Recent form leaves JiaYi Wang with 8 wins and 2 losses over 10 games; Shihomi Li Xuan Leong has piled up 4-6 in the same span.

72%1
72% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JiaYi Wang 1557 · Shihomi Li Xuan Leong 1460
JiaYi WangShihomi Li Xuan Leong
Our model64%36%
Market79%21%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JiaYi Wang (rating 1557 vs 1460).
  • JiaYi Wang is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Shihomi Li Xuan Leong makes many double faults (4.4/match).

Statistics

JiaYi WangShihomi Li Xuan Leong
Win %70%30%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.70.7-1.4
Games (G-P)10.7-7.48.5-10.6
Aces2.10.6
Double faults2.24.4
1st serve %65.8%56.5%
Break %57.8%46%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JiaYi Wang

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Ha Eum Lee
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
04/07 Chengyiyi Yuan
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
03/07 Yuhan Wang
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
02/07 Shiho Shibata
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Onyu Choi
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
26/06 Evialina Laskevich
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
0-2 7-13 L
25/06 Wushuang Zheng
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-1 16-8 W
24/06 Liuyan An
W15 Maanshan · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
18/06 Han Shi
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
1-2 8-15 L
16/06 Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
W35 Zhengzhou · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W

Shihomi Li Xuan Leong

WLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Ziyu Zhou
W15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
25/06 Shiho Tsujioka
W15 Sapporo
1-2 12-17 L
24/06 Haruna Arakawa
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-5 W
18/06 Sae Noguchi
W15 Sapporo
0-2 1-12 L
16/06 Hee Rae Im
W15 Sapporo
2-0 12-7 W
27/05 Shiho Tsujioka
W15 Fukui · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/02 Nadia Lagaev
W35 Arcadia · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
18/11 Rinko Matsuda
ITF W15 Phan Thiet
0-2 7-13 L
12/11 Eleejah Inisan
ITF W15 Phan Thiet
0-2 10-13 L
28/09 Vlada Mincheva
W15 Gurugram
0-2 7-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JiaYi Wang vs Shihomi Li Xuan Leong?

Our model gives 72% to JiaYi Wang, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.