Prediction: Jenson Brooksby vs Patrick Maloney
Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jenson Brooksby; the market gives 88% to Jenson Brooksby (odds 1.08).
Over their last 10 matches, Jenson Brooksby sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Patrick Maloney arrives on a 5-5 run.
| Jenson Brooksby | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Patrick Maloney dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.1% break avg.
- Note: Patrick Maloney makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jenson Brooksby | Patrick Maloney | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Grass | 50% (8) | 100% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.5 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-12.5 | 9.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 1 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 66.1% | 71% |
| Break % | 40.5% | 42.1% |
H2H · Jenson Brooksby 1 – 1 Patrick Maloney (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jenson Brooksby 1–1 Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/25 Challenger Tallahassee | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/03/25 ATP Houston | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 17/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Martin Damm ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 25/05 | Mariano Navone French Open · Clay |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Casper Ruud ATP Geneva · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Patrick Maloney
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Philip Sekulic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Blaise Bicknell Challenger Las Vegas · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | James Trotter Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/09 | Luca Pow Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Elias Ymer US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Chicago · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Stefan Dostanic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jenson Brooksby vs Patrick Maloney?
Our model gives 72% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.

