Tennis · Challenger Newport · 08/07, 23:00

Prediction: Jenson Brooksby vs Patrick Maloney

Our model (Elo on grass, opponent-adjusted) gives 53% to Jenson Brooksby; the market gives 88% to Jenson Brooksby (odds 1.08).

Over their last 10 matches, Jenson Brooksby sits at 4-6 (W-L), while Patrick Maloney arrives on a 5-5 run.

72%1
72% 28%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jenson Brooksby 1504 · Patrick Maloney 1485
Jenson BrooksbyPatrick Maloney
Our model53%47%
Market88%12%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Patrick Maloney dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.1% break avg.
  • Note: Patrick Maloney makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Jenson BrooksbyPatrick Maloney
Win %40%40%
Win % · Grass 50% (8) 100% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.50.9-1.2
Games (G-P)11.9-12.59.5-10.4
Aces3.56.9
Double faults14
1st serve %66.1%71%
Break %40.5%42.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9

H2H · Jenson Brooksby 11 Patrick Maloney (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jenson Brooksby 11 Patrick Maloney

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/04/25
Challenger Tallahassee
0-27-12L
30/03/25
ATP Houston
2-012-6W

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jenson Brooksby

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
03/07 Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 11-18 L
01/07 Ignacio Buse
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-7 W
29/06 Aleksandar Vukic
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-8 W
24/06 Ugo Humbert
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 5-12 L
23/06 Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-0 13-6 W
17/06 Francisco Cerundolo
ATP Queens · Grass
0-2 4-12 L
16/06 Martin Damm
ATP Queens · Grass
2-1 15-13 W
09/06 Zhizhen Zhang
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 14-18 L
25/05 Mariano Navone
French Open · Clay
0-3 12-18 L
19/05 Casper Ruud
ATP Geneva · Clay
0-2 8-13 L

Patrick Maloney

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/07 Hayato Matsuoka
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
05/07 Philip Sekulic
Challenger Newport · Grass
2-0 12-6 W
23/09 Blaise Bicknell
Challenger Las Vegas · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/09 James Trotter
Challenger Columbus · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
15/09 Petr Brunclik
Challenger Columbus · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
09/09 Luca Pow
Challenger Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
22/08 Daniel Elahi Galan
US Open · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
18/08 Elias Ymer
US Open · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/08 Beibit Zhukayev
Challenger Chicago · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
28/07 Stefan Dostanic
Challenger Lexington · Hard
0-2 11-14 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jenson Brooksby vs Patrick Maloney?

Our model gives 72% to Jenson Brooksby, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.