Tennis · M15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Roan Jones vs Ibrahim Snoussi
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 79% to Roan Jones; the market gives 88% to Roan Jones (odds 1.06).
Recent form leaves Roan Jones with 7 wins and 3 losses over 10 games; Ibrahim Snoussi has piled up 1-9 in the same span.
84%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roan Jones 1593 · Ibrahim Snoussi 1358
| Roan Jones | Ibrahim Snoussi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 21% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1593 vs 1358).
- Roan Jones is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Ibrahim Snoussi makes many double faults (6.5/match).
Statistics
| Roan Jones | Ibrahim Snoussi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 0% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 0% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.1-2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.4 | 6.3-12.5 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 6.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.7% | 53.2% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roan Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Giulio Stella M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/01 | Ian Mayew UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 17/01 | Logan Zapp UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/01 | Zen David Uehling UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/01 | Muyang Yi UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 15/01 | Drew Fishback UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/01 | Volodymyr Gurenko UTR Pro Chapel Hill · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
| 13/08 | Adam Nagoudi M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/08 | Nicolas Philibert M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
Ibrahim Snoussi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Benjamin Gusic Wan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Ali Habib M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 16/06 | Pedro Rodenas M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 10/06 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leo Raquillet M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/12 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Andrea Colombo M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 25/11 | Lars Goran Verwerft M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/11 | Chirag Duhan M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/10 | Tadeas Paroulek Challenger Monastir · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roan Jones vs Ibrahim Snoussi?
Our model gives 84% to Roan Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.