Tennis · WTA Contrexeville · 09/07, 10:00
Prediction: Lisa Pigato vs Aurora Zantedeschi
Our model (Elo on clay, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Aurora Zantedeschi; the market gives 65% to Lisa Pigato (odds 1.44).
Over their last 10 matches, Lisa Pigato sits at 5-5 (W-L), while Aurora Zantedeschi arrives on a 8-2 run.
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lisa Pigato 1533 · Aurora Zantedeschi 1599
| Lisa Pigato | Aurora Zantedeschi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aurora Zantedeschi (rating 1533 vs 1599).
- Aurora Zantedeschi is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lisa Pigato 1–0 Aurora Zantedeschi (1).
Statistics
| Lisa Pigato | Aurora Zantedeschi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11 | 11.5-8.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 57% | 68.1% |
| Break % | 44.5% | 55.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Lisa Pigato 1 – 0 Aurora Zantedeschi (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lisa Pigato 1–0 Aurora Zantedeschi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/26 W35 San Gregorio | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lisa Pigato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Angela Fita Boluda WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/07 | Alice Tubello W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Maria Lourdes Carle W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/07 | Laima Vladson W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Danka Kovinic W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Noma Noha Akugue Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 08/06 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Darya Astakhova WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 01/06 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Foggia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/05 | Sloane Stephens French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Aurora Zantedeschi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/07 | Alina Granwehr W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Madison Sieg W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Astrid Lew Yan Foon W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Meline Lataste W35 Aix-les-Bains · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/06 | Nadia Podoroska W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Alessandra Mazzola W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 11/06 | Sofia Rocchetti W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 10/06 | Carolina Troiano W35 San Gregorio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lisa Pigato vs Aurora Zantedeschi?
Our model gives 54% to Lisa Pigato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.