Tennis · M15 Wuning · 08/07, 07:00
Prediction: Tianhui Zhang vs Masaki Ishikawa
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 59% to Tianhui Zhang; the market gives 86% to Tianhui Zhang (odds 1.10).
Over their last 10 matches, Tianhui Zhang sits at 6-4 (W-L), while Masaki Ishikawa arrives on a 3-7 run.
74%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tianhui Zhang 1559 · Masaki Ishikawa 1496
| Tianhui Zhang | Masaki Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tianhui Zhang (rating 1559 vs 1496).
Statistics
| Tianhui Zhang | Masaki Ishikawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.2 | 9.5-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 58% |
| Break % | 38.1% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tianhui Zhang
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/06 | Shintaro Imai M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Fanming Meng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-1 | 1-6 | L |
| 03/06 | Ilya Maltsev M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/05 | Yan Cheng Chen M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/05 | Yaojie Zeng M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/05 | Shu Muto M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 28/05 | Weiyi Kong M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
Masaki Ishikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Minghui Zhang M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 8-7 | W |
| 21/02 | Naoto Tomizawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Katsutoshi Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/02 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 06/02 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 05/02 | Natsuki Yamamoto UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/02 | Yoshinori Kobayashi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Yuga Tashiro UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tianhui Zhang vs Masaki Ishikawa?
Our model gives 74% to Tianhui Zhang, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.