Tennis · M15 Wuning · 08/07, 05:30
Prediction: Martin Borisiouk vs Yaojie Zeng
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 54% to Yaojie Zeng; the market gives 59% to Martin Borisiouk (odds 1.57).
On recent form, Martin Borisiouk is 7-3 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Yaojie Zeng 6-4 over theirs.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Borisiouk 1525 · Yaojie Zeng 1551
| Martin Borisiouk | Yaojie Zeng | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Martin Borisiouk | Yaojie Zeng | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10 | 12-9.5 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 5.3 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 73.1% | 73.8% |
| Break % | 48% | 40.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Borisiouk
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/07 | Grigoriy Lomakin M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Yua Taka M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/11 | Gavin Young ITF M25 Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 29/10 | Alan Magadan ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/10 | Mariano Dedura-Palomero ITF M25 Harlingen · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Dhakshineswar Suresh ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Peter Bertran ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Alan Magadan ITF M15 Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Yaojie Zeng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Amirkhamza Nasridinov M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Chun-Chien Hou M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/07 | Viktor Frydrych M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Pawit Sornlaksup M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 05/06 | Tsung-Hao Huang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 04/06 | Qian Sun M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/06 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 30/05 | Tianhui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/05 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Borisiouk vs Yaojie Zeng?
Our model gives 53% to Martin Borisiouk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.