Tennis · M15 Monastir · 08/07, 10:30
Prediction: Nicolas Robert vs Toufik Sahtali
Our model (Elo on hard, opponent-adjusted) gives 71% to Toufik Sahtali; the market gives 79% to Toufik Sahtali (odds 1.17).
On recent form, Nicolas Robert is 5-5 (wins-losses) over their last 10 matches and Toufik Sahtali 7-3 over theirs.
76%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nicolas Robert 1431 · Toufik Sahtali 1586
| Nicolas Robert | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 71% |
| Market | 21% | 79% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toufik Sahtali (rating 1431 vs 1586).
- Toufik Sahtali is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Nicolas Robert makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Toufik Sahtali makes many double faults (4.6/match).
Statistics
| Nicolas Robert | Toufik Sahtali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-11.2 | 12.5-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4.6 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 52.1% | 45.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nicolas Robert
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Jonas Eriksson Ziverts M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Louay Makke M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/05 | Yoshka Sborowsky M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Daniel De Jonge M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/05 | Conor Gannon M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/04 | Fausto Tabacco M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Marko Retelj M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/04 | Petr Nesterov M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 14/04 | Fedor Sosedkin M25 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Toufik Sahtali
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-9 | L |
| 02/07 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/06 | Daniel Domingos Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/06 | Ntungamili Raguin Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/06 | Abraham Asaba Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Kael Shalin Shah Davis Cup |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 05/06 | Yassine Dlimi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 04/06 | Clement Lemire M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/06 | Diogo Marques M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nicolas Robert vs Toufik Sahtali?
Our model gives 76% to Toufik Sahtali, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.